WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
👑 The Complete Package
Rybakina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Paula Badosa and Elena Rybakina are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,510 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -78.3% | -0.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -0.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Badosa
5
Rybakina
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 17, 2025
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 20, 2023
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 18, 2022
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 16, 2021
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 15, 2019
Bucharest
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Badosa's 50%).
| Opponent | Badosa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 64 | W 64 61 |
| Eva Lys | L 62 57 46 | L 36 61 46 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 46 26 | W 63 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 75 | W 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Badosa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57.5% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 72.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 32.8% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 6.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 7.4 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 40% | 56.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 36.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.1% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 39.7% | 51.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 54% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Paula Badosa and Elena Rybakina face off in the Round of 16 at Cincinnati on Hard.
Paula Badosa leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Paula Badosa is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Julia Grabher (Apr 21).
Elena Rybakina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Yuliia Starodubtseva (May 27).
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