Other · Finals · Nitto ATP Finals
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 5,478 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 29–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| ROI % | -37.1% | +9.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.60u | +2.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 10 career meetings
5
Djokovic
5
Sinner
Jan 29, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 11, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 5, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 13, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Finals
Jan 23, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 19, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Finals
Nov 14, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 14, 2023
Wimbledon
G Grass · Semifinals
Jul 6, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Djokovic's 70%).
| Opponent | Djokovic | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 64 64 36 57 57 | W 76 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 64 67 62 63 | W 62 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 62 26 36 57 | W 76 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 61 76 62 | W 61 62 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 46 36 31 | W 61 64 62 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 63 62 62 | W 61 63 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 16 64 64 64 | W 75 62 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 64 | W 75 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 75 | W 64 62 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 67 62 75 64 | W 62 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Djokovic | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.2% | 63.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.2% | 70% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.3% | 53.9% |
| Aces / Match | 6 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.5% | 49.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.5% | 25.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.1% | 48% |
| BP Converted % | 39.4% | 32% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 28.8 | 17.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29 | 20.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.3% | 61.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 67% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Valentin Royer
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Dino Prizmic
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jack Draper
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Matchup overview
Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner face off in the Finals at Nitto ATP Finals on Hard.
Novak Djokovic leads 5-5 over 10 previous meetings.
Novak Djokovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 29).
Jannik Sinner is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (May 27).
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