ATP 500 · Quarterfinals · Rio de Janeiro
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Nicolas Jarry here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jarry | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -26.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Jarry
1
Baez
Feb 24, 2023
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 9, 2021
Santiago 2
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jarry has a higher win rate against shared opponents (17% vs Baez's 0%).
| Opponent | Jarry | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 67 16 | L 26 26 |
| Jaime Faria | L 67 76 36 | L 57 16 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 67 76 76 36 | L 36 46 |
| Holger Rune | W 46 46 75 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 64 36 | L 60 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jarry | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.5% | 68.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.1% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 52.2% |
| Aces / Match | 6.8 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.9% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.3% | 57.9% |
| BP Converted % | 55.1% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 13.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 16 | 21.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 87.5% | 55.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.1% | 52.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 75% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Round of 16
Apr 9
Adam Walton
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 32
Mar 10
Matchup overview
Nicolas Jarry and Sebastian Baez face off in the Quarterfinals at Rio de Janeiro on Clay.
Nicolas Jarry leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Nicolas Jarry is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Elmer Moller (Apr 14).
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
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