WTA 500 · Bad Homburg WTA
Sign up to see the pick
Free trial available. Unlock our prediction, win probability, and summary for every match.
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,968 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | +54.8% | +55.6% |
| Units P/L | +7.67u | +8.34u |
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
4
Osaka
3
Mertens
Aug 5, 2024
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 10, 2024
s Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 32
Mar 6, 2024
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 22, 2021
Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 24, 2020
Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 16, 2019
Osaka
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 25, 2017
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Mertens's 33%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 46 67 |
| Donna Vekic | W | W 63 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 61 62 | L 63 67 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 76 | L 61 36 06 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 46 62 | L 36 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 62 | L 62 67 36 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 60 46 63 | L 46 06 |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | L 63 46 46 | W 62 61 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 62 | W 61 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.6% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.3% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.5% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 41.8% | 39.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.4% | 54.6% |
| BP Converted % | 67.3% | 45.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.8% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 0% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens face off in the match at Bad Homburg WTA on Grass.
Naomi Osaka leads 4-3 over 7 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Magdalena Frech (Jun 22).
Elise Mertens is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nikola Bartunkova (Jun 17).
Get $25 free
New accounts only. Create a Kalshi account and predict match outcomes.
Claim offerShare this match
