WTA 500 · Semifinals · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Svitolina
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Naomi Osaka and Elina Svitolina are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 7,780 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 9–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +47.1% | +55.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.77u | +4.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
5
Osaka
2
Svitolina
Jul 27, 2025
Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 18, 2024
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 14, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 19, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 19, 2018
Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 19, 2016
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 18, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Osaka's 70%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 26 36 |
| Iva Jovic | W | W 76 62 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 63 76 | W 76 46 63 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 62 | W |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | W |
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | W 61 60 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 61 62 | W 76 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 63 61 | W 61 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | W 76 75 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 76 | L 46 62 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.2% | 61.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 68.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47% | 47.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47% | 69.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 59.2% |
| BP Converted % | 57.6% | 41.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 53.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Elina Svitolina face off in the Semifinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Naomi Osaka leads 5-2 over 7 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
Elina Svitolina is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mariya Kostyuk (Jun 2).
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