ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Guadalajara
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Basic
⚔️ The Gladiator
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,418 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Basic | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.69 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Basic
0
Shapovalov
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Basic | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57.6% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 60.6% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.4% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.7 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.7 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 27.9% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.9% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.4% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 39.5% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21 | 15.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23 | 28.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 52.6% | 54.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.2% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Marat Sharipov
Futures 2026 ·
Jun 10
Andrej Nedic
Zagreb Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 10
Jan Klimas
Ostra Group Open By Porsche Servisni Centrum Ostrava · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 27
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Ostra Group Open By Porsche Servisni Centrum Ostrava · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 27
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Memorijal Mile Moralic - Split Open Jolly Autoline · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Matchup overview
Mirza Basic and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Finals at Guadalajara on Hard.
Mirza Basic leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Mirza Basic is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marat Sharipov (Jun 10).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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