ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Astana
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kukushkin
💥 Big Hitter
Tokuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mikhail Kukushkin here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kukushkin | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | -60.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.27u | -4.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kukushkin
0
Tokuda
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kukushkin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Tokuda's 0%).
| Opponent | Kukushkin | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | L 67 76 67 | L 67 46 |
| Coleman Wong | L 36 36 | L 67 46 |
| Marat Sharipov | W 64 64 | L 36 57 |
| August Holmgren | L 64 67 26 | L 36 63 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kukushkin | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 57% | 67.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.3% | 76% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.5% | 57.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48% | 58.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.5% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.8% | 57.4% |
| BP Converted % | 39.7% | 33.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 12.5 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 18.5 | 45 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.3% | 75% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.3% | 55% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Damir Dzumhur
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Open · Round of 16
May 7
Tianhui Zhang
Wuxi Open · Round of 32
May 6
Coleman Wong
Jiangxi Open · Round of 32
Apr 29
Matchup overview
Mikhail Kukushkin and Renta Tokuda face off in the Round of 16 at Astana on Hard.
Mikhail Kukushkin leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Mikhail Kukushkin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Damir Dzumhur (Jun 20).
Renta Tokuda is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Shunsuke Nakagawa (Jun 18).
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