ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Abidjan 1
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerts
🏹 Frontrunner
Potenza
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 183 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Michael Geerts plays Luca Potenza.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerts | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Geerts
1
Potenza
Sep 15, 2025
Saint-Tropez
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 16, 2025
Abidjan 1
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 28, 2021
Forli 2
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Geerts has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Potenza's 50%).
| Opponent | Geerts | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Amit Vales | W 75 46 62 | L 46 63 46 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 63 75 | W 61 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Geerts | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.7% | 59.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 75% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.7% | 51.7% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 71% | 56.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.9% | 30.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.9% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 43.7% | 44.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 39 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 100% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.4% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 86% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Michael Geerts and Luca Potenza face off in the Round of 16 at Abidjan 1 on Hard.
Michael Geerts leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Michael Geerts is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Dinko Dinev (May 6).
Luca Potenza is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elmer Moller (Jun 23).
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