ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Heilbronn
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Topo
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marko Topo here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 3–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +49.9% | -59.6% |
| Units P/L | +9.48u | -7.75u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Arnaldi
0
Topo
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Topo's 0%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | W 61 57 76 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 61.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 50.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 66.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 34.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 46.9% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 38.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 18.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 35 | 25.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 60.6% | 59.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 68% | 18% |
Last five matches per player
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Marko Topo face off in the Round of 16 at Heilbronn on Clay.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Giles Hussey (Jun 23).
Marko Topo is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Martin Krumich (Jun 24).
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