WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🎯 Baseliner
Pliskova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 348 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Karolina Pliskova here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 5–0 |
| Avg odds | 7.79 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -18.0% | +86.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | +4.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
3
Sakkari
5
Pliskova
Apr 21, 2026
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 17, 2023
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 6, 2023
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 20, 2023
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2022
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 30, 2021
Us Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 13, 2019
Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
May 14, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pliskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sakkari's 0%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 06 26 |
| Elise Mertens | L 36 06 | W 75 26 76 |
| Donna Vekic | L 26 36 | L 57 46 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 76 36 | W 61 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sakkari | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 65.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 60.5% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 41.7% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 4.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 5.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 51.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.8% | 35% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.2% | 53.1% |
| BP Converted % | 56.1% | 50.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.1% | 50.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Maria Sakkari and Karolina Pliskova face off in the Round of 16 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Maria Sakkari leads 3-5 over 8 previous meetings.
Maria Sakkari is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Peyton Stearns (May 17).
Karolina Pliskova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Jaqueline Cristian (May 5).
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