WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🎯 Baseliner
Rybakina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 69% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 382 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elena Rybakina here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 7.79 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -18.0% | +48.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | +0.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
1
Sakkari
6
Rybakina
May 5, 2026
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Dec 27, 2024
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 18, 2024
Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 7, 2022
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 10, 2020
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sakkari's 30%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | W 60 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 63 46 16 | W 75 61 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 46 | W 75 61 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 67 46 | W 67 64 76 |
| Paula Badosa | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 46 | W 26 63 64 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 75 76 | W 63 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 26 | W 75 61 |
| Varvara Gracheva | W 76 60 | W 75 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 64 62 | W 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sakkari | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 60.5% | 72.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 6.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 56.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.8% | 36.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.2% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 56.1% | 51.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.1% | 54% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Maria Sakkari and Elena Rybakina face off in the Quarterfinals at Indian Wells on Hard.
Maria Sakkari leads 1-6 over 7 previous meetings.
Maria Sakkari is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Peyton Stearns (May 17).
Elena Rybakina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alexandra Eala (May 5).
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