ITF M · Futures 2026
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zielinski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Kelm
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 3,148 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marcel Zielinski here.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zielinski | Kelm |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 8–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | +24.1% | +30.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.69u | +3.34u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Zielinski
0
Kelm
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zielinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kelm's 0%).
| Opponent | Zielinski | Kelm |
|---|---|---|
| Nikolai Barsukov | W 75 75 | L 62 46 26 |
| Tadeas Paroulek | L 36 57 | L 75 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Zielinski | Kelm |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 62.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 59.6% | 66.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51% | 50.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.2% | 61.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.9% | 40.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.8% | 53.5% |
| BP Converted % | 41.3% | 45.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 47.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 50% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 52.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 80% | 78% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Marcel Zielinski and Yannik Kelm face off in the match at Futures 2026 on Hard.
Marcel Zielinski leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Marcel Zielinski is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Yannik Kelm (Jun 19).
Yannik Kelm is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marcel Zielinski (Jun 19).
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