WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Montreal
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,633 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Madison Keys plays Karolina Muchova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–1 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | +152.0% | +191.2% |
| Units P/L | +12.16u | +11.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Keys
0
Muchova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Muchova's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L | L 62 16 26 |
| Victoria Mboko | W | W 75 76 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W | W 60 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | W 75 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L 57 16 |
| Anna Bondar | W 62 75 | W 75 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 63 57 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 26 06 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | W 61 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 67% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.1% | 63.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.7% | 46.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.8% | 56.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 34.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 49.6% |
| BP Converted % | 56.8% | 57.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 49% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova face off in the Round of 16 at Montreal on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 1).
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 29).
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