Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–1 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.63 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +138.3% | -24.5% |
| Units P/L | +12.45u | -1.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Keys
2
Pegula
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Keys's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 36 63 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | W 62 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | W 62 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 63 | W 46 62 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | W 63 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L 62 36 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 36 26 | W 16 64 63 |
| Clara Tauson | L 16 46 | W 63 26 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 64 63 | W 60 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.1% | 63.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.3% | 71.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 44.7% | 53.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54% | 68.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.1% | 39.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.9% | 54% |
| BP Converted % | 50.2% | 38.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.1% | 54.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Jessica Pegula face off in the Round of 16 at Us Open on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 1).
Jessica Pegula is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Kimberly Birrell (May 26).
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