WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
👑 The Complete Package
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 1,590 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 3–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +107.5% | +74.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.15u | +2.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
2
Keys
6
Swiatek
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
May 6, 2024
Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2022
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 7, 2022
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 10, 2021
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Keys's 50%).
| Opponent | Keys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 46 | W 61 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 26 63 63 | W 61 67 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | W 62 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | W 76 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 46 63 75 | W 62 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 26 | L 57 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L 67 64 06 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 36 26 | L 76 46 26 |
| Eva Lys | W 16 63 76 | W 62 62 |
| Clara Tauson | L 16 46 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 64.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 70.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.1% | 53.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 63.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.9% | 41.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 68% |
| BP Converted % | 49.6% | 55.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 58% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek face off in the Round of 16 at Cincinnati on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 2-6 over 8 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Peyton Stearns (May 5).
Iga Swiatek is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Jessica Pegula (May 5).
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