WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
👑 The Complete Package
Vekic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Madison Keys here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 3–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +107.5% | +115.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.15u | +3.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
5
Keys
1
Vekic
Mar 30, 2026
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 22, 2025
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 5, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 64
May 14, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
May 23, 2016
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Vekic's 43%).
| Opponent | Keys | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | W 75 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 62 | L 26 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 46 | L 64 26 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 64 61 | W 76 76 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 67 76 76 | W 63 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 76 46 16 | L 67 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 63 62 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Keys | Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 67.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.1% | 41% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 4.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.1% | 57.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.9% | 30.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 52% |
| BP Converted % | 49.6% | 44.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 47.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Madison Keys and Donna Vekic face off in the Round of 16 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Madison Keys leads 5-1 over 6 previous meetings.
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Peyton Stearns (May 5).
Donna Vekic is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Katie Volynets (Apr 6).
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