ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Mexico City
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlovic
💥 Big Hitter
Mendez
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,475 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luka Pavlovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlovic | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.72 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -25.6% | +10.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.59u | +0.98u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Pavlovic
1
Mendez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pavlovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mendez's 33%).
| Opponent | Pavlovic | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Mena | W 76 46 62 | L 46 36 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | L 16 63 36 | W 36 61 64 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 75 | L 67 26 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 76 63 | W 63 60 |
| Luca Nardi | L 36 57 | L 67 67 |
| Francesco Passaro | L 26 26 | L 64 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pavlovic | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.7% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.4% | 75.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.9% | 53.5% |
| Aces / Match | 7.8 | 7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.8 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.3% | 64.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.2% | 27.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 53.9% | 36.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.6 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 37.7 | 28.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 66.3% | 63% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.5% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 47% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Tomas Barrios Vera
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Harry Wendelken
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Darwin Blanch
Roland Garros · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 22
Luka Pavlovic
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Bor Artnak
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 16
Apr 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 8
James Duckworth
Banorte Tennis Open · Semifinals
Apr 4
Luka Pavlovic
Banorte Tennis Open · Round of 16
Apr 3
Match summary
Luka Pavlovic and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez meet in the quarterfinals of the Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ on outdoor clay. Pavlovic, ranked 200th, faces Pacheco Mendez, who sits at 270th in the standings. The two will compete on clay, a surface where both players have meaningful experience this season.
Pavlovic and Pacheco Mendez have played twice before, splitting their head-to-head record at 1-1. Their previous encounters suggest a competitive rivalry without a clear pattern of dominance from either side. This quarterfinal matchup will be their first meeting since establishing their initial meetings.
Pavlovic has won 60 percent of his matches over his last five and last ten outings, with a current winning streak of two. He's been active, playing five matches in the last 14 days and just one day removed from his most recent match. Pacheco Mendez enters with an 80 percent win rate across his last five matches, though his record over ten matches stands at 60 percent, and he also carries a two-match winning streak. He too has played frequently, with six matches in the past two weeks.
On clay specifically, Pavlovic owns a 10-10 record (50 percent) while Pacheco Mendez has gone 9-11 (45 percent). Pavlovic plays with power and aggression as a big hitter, while Pacheco Mendez is known for his ability to frustrate opponents and create opportunities through steady, tactical play. Both players have recently faced some common opponents, setting up an interesting dynamic in this quarterfinal encounter.
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