ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Kigali 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlovic
💥 Big Hitter
Erhard
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luka Pavlovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlovic | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | -4.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.96u | -0.52u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Pavlovic
0
Erhard
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Pavlovic and Erhard posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Pavlovic | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | L 67 46 | L 36 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pavlovic | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.2% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.4% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.5% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 7.7 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.1% | 45.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.9% | 26.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47% | 47% |
| BP Converted % | 44.9% | 27.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 15.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36 | 30.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.1% | 67.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 46.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 47% | 45% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Elahi Galan
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 32
Jun 10
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Tomas Barrios Vera
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Harry Wendelken
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
PLOVDIV CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Jun 24
Thomas Fancutt
PLOVDIV CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Jun 23
Martin Krumich
Bratislava Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Enea Poznan Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Fares Zakaria
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Matchup overview
Luka Pavlovic and Mathys Erhard face off in the Round of 16 at Kigali 2 on Clay.
Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Luka Pavlovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Elahi Galan (Jun 10).
Mathys Erhard is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre (Jun 24).
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