ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlovic
💥 Big Hitter
Mayo
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,258 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luka Pavlovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlovic | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.72 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -25.6% | +9.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.59u | +1.09u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Pavlovic
0
Mayo
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pavlovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mayo's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlovic | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | W 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Luca Nardi | L 36 57 | L 36 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pavlovic | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.7% | 60.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.4% | 69.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.9% | 49.4% |
| Aces / Match | 7.8 | 5.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.3% | 66.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.2% | 28.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45% | 43.6% |
| BP Converted % | 53.9% | 43.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.6 | 24.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 37.7 | 39.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 66.3% | 76.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.5% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 33% | 67% |
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Match summary
Luka Pavlovic and Aidan Mayo will meet in the Round of 16 of the Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ on outdoor clay. Pavlovic enters as the higher-ranked player at number 200, while Mayo holds a ranking of 674. The two have never faced each other on the professional tour.
With no head-to-head history between them, their recent performances against common opponents offer some insight into how they match up. Pavlovic has defeated Adrian Mannarino, Alexis Galarneau, and James Trotter, while Mayo has lost to all three. Mayo did secure a win over Neil Oberleitner in their recent encounter, though Pavlovic fell to the same opponent.
Pavlovic arrives with solid recent activity, winning three of his last five matches and posting a 5-5 record over his last ten outings. Mayo has struggled more recently, winning just two of his last five matches and maintaining a 4-10 record over the same span. On clay specifically, Pavlovic holds a 10-10 record this season, while Mayo sits at 6-14.
Pavlovic is known for his powerful hitting from the baseline, while Mayo competes with a more versatile all-court approach. The matchup will hinge on whether Pavlovic can control the rallies with his aggressive shot-making or if Mayo can use his court movement and varied game to neutralize that pressure.
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