ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Winnipeg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nardi
⚙️ Grinder
Mayo
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,130 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aidan Mayo here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nardi | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | -22.0% | +22.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.20u | +1.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Nardi
0
Mayo
Aug 5, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 15, 2023
Winnipeg
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Nardi and Mayo posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Nardi | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Edas Butvilas | W 64 62 | W 76 76 |
| Stefano Travaglia | L 26 61 16 | L 16 61 36 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 46 16 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nardi | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.3% | 59.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 68.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 5.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.3% | 64.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 27.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 42.1% |
| BP Converted % | 44.3% | 40.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.4 | 25.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 41.7 | 41.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.8% | 82.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.4% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Remy Bertola
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 4
Oriol Roca Batalla
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Braden Shick
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 32
Jun 3
Andre Ilagan
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Quarterfinals
May 22
Johannus Monday
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 16
May 17
Edas Butvilas
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 32
May 13
Daniel Dutra da Silva
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19
Matchup overview
Luca Nardi and Aidan Mayo face off in the Round of 32 at Winnipeg on Hard.
Luca Nardi leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Luca Nardi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Oscar Weightman (Jun 13).
Aidan Mayo is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Braden Shick (Jun 3).
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