ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Vicenza
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Pavlovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,969 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Luka Pavlovic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Castagnola | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.82 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -77.0% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -6.93u | -1.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Castagnola
0
Pavlovic
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Castagnola | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.3% | 53.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62% | 76.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.2% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 1.7 | 7.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.1% | 61.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.9% | 26.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.6% | 47% |
| BP Converted % | 41.6% | 44.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 16 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33 | 36 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.6% | 68.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.4% | 49% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 30% | 47% |
Last five matches per player
Daniel Elahi Galan
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · Round of 32
Jun 10
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Tomas Barrios Vera
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Harry Wendelken
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Luca Castagnola and Luka Pavlovic face off in the Round of 32 at Vicenza on Clay.
Luca Castagnola leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Luca Castagnola is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Chepelev (Jun 18).
Luka Pavlovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Elahi Galan (Jun 10).
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