ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Manerbio
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giustino
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giustino | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -51.4% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.60u | -0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Giustino
1
Kotov
Jun 8, 2021
Almaty 2
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2019
Manerbio
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Giustino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kotov's 40%).
| Opponent | Giustino | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Cezar Cretu | W 75 64 | L 61 16 26 |
| Gauthier Onclin | L 57 26 | W 61 36 64 |
| Martin Krumich | W 63 64 | L 67 64 46 |
| Otto Virtanen | L 67 36 | L 46 26 |
| Akira Santillan | W 64 75 | W 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Giustino | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.8% | 62.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.8% | 66.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.2% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 64.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.3% | 31.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.7% | 45.9% |
| BP Converted % | 39.6% | 45.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.5 | 43 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.6% | 72.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.3% | 48.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 17% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Lorenzo Giustino and Pavel Kotov face off in the Round of 16 at Manerbio on Clay.
Lorenzo Giustino leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Lorenzo Giustino is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Maks Kasnikowski (Jun 8).
Pavel Kotov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Leo Raquillet (Jun 11).
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