WTA 500 · Final · Osaka
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🏹 Frontrunner
Valentova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 61% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 178 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Leylah Fernandez here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | -58.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | -2.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Fernandez
0
Valentova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Valentova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | L 36 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 26 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 61 64 | W 76 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 06 | L 67 67 |
| Chloe Paquet | W 60 63 | W 46 63 75 |
| Maya Joint | L 46 16 | W 64 64 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 76 63 | W 76 75 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 63 75 | W 67 64 63 |
| Olga Danilovic | L 36 16 | W 46 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fernandez | Valentova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 63.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 60.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.2% | 52.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.7% | 35.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 61.9% |
| BP Converted % | 44.8% | 44% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Leylah Fernandez and Tereza Valentova face off in the Final at Osaka on Hard.
Leylah Fernandez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Leylah Fernandez is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Victoria Mboko (May 17).
Tereza Valentova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Coco Gauff (May 5).
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