WTA 500 · Semifinals · Osaka
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🏹 Frontrunner
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 222 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sorana Cirstea here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 5–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.38 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | +38.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | +1.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Fernandez
0
Cirstea
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fernandez's 60%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 36 64 | W 76 26 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | L 46 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 67 | W 26 63 75 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 60 76 | W 62 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 36 | L 67 64 26 |
| Ann Li | W 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 61 64 | L 57 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 06 | W 62 76 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 57 75 63 | W 64 61 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 61 | W 36 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fernandez | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 58.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 69.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 4.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.9 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.2% | 58.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.7% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 56.7% |
| BP Converted % | 44.8% | 52.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 53.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 71% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Leylah Fernandez and Sorana Cirstea face off in the Semifinals at Osaka on Hard.
Leylah Fernandez leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Leylah Fernandez is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Victoria Mboko (May 17).
Sorana Cirstea is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Aryna Sabalenka (May 5).
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