WTA 500 · Final · Hong Kong
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🏹 Frontrunner
Siniakova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 61% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 178 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Leylah Fernandez here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | +15.8% | -30.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | -1.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Fernandez
2
Siniakova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Fernandez's 30%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 64 67 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 36 63 62 | W 75 63 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 36 | W 46 76 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 46 67 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 06 | L 16 62 57 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 26 | L 62 06 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 16 26 | W 60 61 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 62 75 | L 57 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 64 57 36 | L 36 26 |
| Maya Joint | L 46 16 | W 63 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fernandez | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 63.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.9 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.2% | 67% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.7% | 40.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 44.8% | 41.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 51.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 75% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Leylah Fernandez and Katerina Siniakova face off in the Final at Hong Kong on Hard.
Leylah Fernandez leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Leylah Fernandez is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Victoria Mboko (May 17).
Katerina Siniakova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Marie Bouzkova (May 17).
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