ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Learner Tien plays Alexander Bublik.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tien | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +17.1% | -22.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.39u | -3.09u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Tien
0
Bublik
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bublik's 50%).
| Opponent | Tien | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 57 67 | L 16 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 76 | L 26 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 57 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Tommy Paul | L 64 46 36 | W 76 67 63 67 61 |
| Marin Cilic | L 57 67 | W 64 61 64 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 62 57 61 60 | W 64 62 |
| Marcos Giron | W 76 46 36 76 62 | W 36 64 62 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | W 61 64 | L 57 63 57 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 46 64 64 | W 63 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tien | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.8% | 65.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 69.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.9% | 45.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 9.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 46.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.5% | 23.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.2% | 45.9% |
| BP Converted % | 48.8% | 38.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.4 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.1 | 23.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61% | 59.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 46.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Max Schoenhaus
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 12
Flavio Cobolli
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 30
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Cristian Garin
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Match summary
Learner Tien meets Alexander Bublik in the Round of 32 at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on May 10, a clay court event that presents a significant test for the 21st-ranked American. Bublik, ranked 11th, arrives as the clear clay specialist in the pairing, with a 75% win rate on the surface in recent play against Tien's 33%.
The two have never met. Recent common opponents tell a lopsided story: Bublik has defeated Daniil Medvedev, Marin Cilic, Tommy Paul, and Valentin Royer, while Tien lost to those same players. Only against Matteo Berrettini did Tien register a win in that group, with Bublik falling to the same opponent. Both players come in fresh after playing once in the past two weeks.
Tien relies on heavy groundstrokes and pace off the ground, a formula that can trouble opponents on hard courts but loses some leverage on clay. Bublik builds points around his first serve and avoids extended baseline exchanges when possible. The surface will test Tien's ability to shorten points and generate angles without the pace that clay naturally absorbs, while Bublik must manage his service patterns against a hitter trained to attack second serves.
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