Grand Slam · French Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siegemund
🪃 Counterpuncher
Osaka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,261 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Naomi Osaka here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.21u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Siegemund
2
Osaka
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Siegemund's 38%).
| Opponent | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 36 | L 26 16 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 76 26 63 | W 61 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 64 26 46 | L 76 36 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 67 64 36 | W 62 62 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 26 36 | W 60 46 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 06 75 64 | W 46 76 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 06 | W 63 62 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 63 | W 46 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Siegemund | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 74.5% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 58.5% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.6% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 1.4 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 51.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.1% | 38.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.5% | 55.5% |
| BP Converted % | 44.9% | 49.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.1% | 52.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 57% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Laura Siegemund meets Naomi Osaka on May 26 in the French Open on clay. The German, ranked 46th, faces the 16th-ranked Japanese player in a matchup that pits contrasting clay records against each other. Both players arrive off three weeks away from competition.
Osaka holds a 2-1 head-to-head record over Siegemund. Recent common opponents tell divergent stories: Osaka defeated Gauff, Kasatkina, and Svitolina while Siegemund lost to all three, though Siegemund beat Bronzetti and Stearns in matches Osaka dropped. Both players won 3 of their last 5 matches and 6 of their last 10.
Siegemund operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on returning pace and building points from secondary positions; her clay record sits at 45%. Osaka combines power, movement, and tactical depth across all court zones and has won 55% of her clay matches in the recent sample. The surface will test whether Siegemund's defensive timing can disrupt Osaka's all-court dominance, or if Osaka's variety proves too much from the back of the court.
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