ITF W15 · Final · W15 Hillcrest
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Leykina
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,815 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Kira Pavlova here.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | -35.6% | -38.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.20u | -1.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Pavlova
0
Leykina
Jul 14, 2025
W15 Hillcrest
H Hard · Final
Jul 7, 2025
W35 Hillcrest
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Leykina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Pavlova's 50%).
| Opponent | Pavlova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Milovanova | L 64 57 16 | L 67 26 |
| Caterina Odorizzi | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
| Stephanie Judith Visscher | L 64 36 26 | W 62 46 76 |
| Valeria Bhunu | W 62 62 | W 16 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pavlova | Leykina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.1% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 57.1% | 48.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.3% | 22% |
| Aces / Match | 0.9 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.2% | 36.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 46% | 30.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.3% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 58.6% | 69.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.1% | 40.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 45% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Kira Pavlova and Polina Leykina face off in the Final at W15 Hillcrest on Hard.
Kira Pavlova leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Kira Pavlova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ya Yi Yang (Jun 9).
Polina Leykina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elsa Bonelli (Jun 18).
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