ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Khachanov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Karen Khachanov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -35.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | -4.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
5
Nishikori
2
Khachanov
Jan 1, 2025
Hong Kong
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 2, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Oct 16, 2018
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 13, 2018
Halle
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 14, 2017
Halle
G Grass · Round of 16
Sep 1, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nishikori and Khachanov posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nishikori | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 68.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 70.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 55.8% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 5.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 64.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 29.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 40.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19 | 23.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 39.3 | 24.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.2% | 72.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 51.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 54% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Jesper de Jong
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Marco Trungelliti
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Arthur Gea
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 13
Ugo Humbert
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Karen Khachanov face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Kei Nishikori leads 5-2 over 7 previous meetings.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Karen Khachanov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jesper de Jong (May 29).
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