ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Palmas del Mar
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Heide
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Kei Nishikori and Gustavo Heide are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 4,672 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 15–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | +10.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | +1.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Nishikori
0
Heide
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 54.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 67% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 52.1% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 65.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 33% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 52.2% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 48.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 21.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 70.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 51.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Gustavo Heide face off in the Semifinals at Palmas del Mar on Hard.
Kei Nishikori leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Gustavo Heide is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Facundo Diaz Acosta (Jun 19).
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