ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andrey Rublev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.20u | -1.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Nishikori
0
Rublev
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 57 36 | W 61 16 63 76 |
| Yibing Wu | L 36 63 16 | W 36 62 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nishikori | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.5% | 70.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52% | 53.7% |
| Aces / Match | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.5% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.1% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.9% | 53.1% |
| BP Converted % | 46.6% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 19.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 64.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Kei Nishikori and Andrey Rublev face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Kei Nishikori leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
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