Keegan SmithvsMatteo Martineau

March 1, 2026H Hard

Match Result

Final score & match stats

#244Keegan Smith[7]

#326Matteo Martineau

SmithMartineau

1st Serve %55%71%

1st Serve Won63%75%

2nd Serve Won52%52%

Serve Pts Won58%68%

BP Saved2/55/5

Return Pts Won32%42%

Total Pts Won43%57%

Winners2027

Unforced Errors2416

Aces26

Double Faults51

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Smith

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth

Martineau

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,431 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Keegan Smith plays Matteo Martineau.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Smith	Martineau
W-L	8–9	3–6
Avg odds	1.98	2.32
ROI %	-14.3%	-10.9%
Units P/L	-2.43u	-0.98u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings

Smith

Martineau

Mar 9, 2026

Challenger Cherbourg La Manche

H Hard · Round of 32

7⁹6⁷

Martineau

Mar 1, 2026

Thionville Open

H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying

Smith

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 3 shared opponents, both Smith and Martineau posted a 33% win rate.

Opponent	Smith	Martineau
Pavel Kotov	L 46 46	L 46 76 67
Antoine Ghibaudo	W 76 75	W 67 76 76
Martin Damm	L 16 57	L 67 46

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Smith	Martineau
Serve
1st Serve In %	71.9%	65.7%
1st Serve Pts Won %	73.9%	70.3%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	55.4%	52.1%
Aces / Match	6.4	4.7
Double Faults / Match	2.1	3
Break Points Saved %	63.5%	53.6%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	28.8%	29.7%
2nd Return Pts Won %	47.1%	49.7%
BP Converted %	35.5%	42.9%
Rally
Winners / Match	25.6	34
Unforced Errors / Match	24.1	39.9
Net Pts Won %	59%	63.1%
Total Pts Won %	51.7%	49.9%
Surface (Hard)
Hard Win %	50%	50%