ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Lexington
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🎯 Baseliner
Tu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,630 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Keegan Smith plays Li Tu.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -8.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.43u | -1.23u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Smith
1
Tu
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Smith and Tu posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 57 60 63 | W 36 76 76 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 76 46 76 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.9% | 61.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.9% | 72.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 54.2% |
| Aces / Match | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63.5% | 41% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 26.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.1% | 48.4% |
| BP Converted % | 35.5% | 40.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 23.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 29.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 59% | 57.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 50.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 77% |
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Tommaso Compagnucci
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · Round of 32
May 19
Lukas Neumayer
Internazionali Di Tennis - Citta'Di Vicenza · Round of 32
May 13
Fajing Sun
WUNING OPEN 2 · Final
Apr 19
Blake Ellis
WUNING OPEN 2 · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Match summary
Keegan Smith and Li Tu will meet in the Round of 16 of the Wuning Open 2 on hard court on April 16, 2026. Smith is ranked 301st while Tu sits at 381st, with Tu holding a 1-0 head to head record from their single prior meeting.
Smith comes into this match on limited recent momentum, winning just one of his last five matches while posting a 40% win rate over his last ten. Tu has been much more active and successful, winning eight of his last five matches and maintaining a 70% win rate across his last ten outings. Tu also played five matches in the last fourteen days compared to Smith's two.
Smith operates as a baseliner who constructs points from the back of the court, while Tu employs a serve-heavy game style. On hard courts this season, Smith holds a 50% record with ten wins and ten losses, whereas Tu sits at 45% with nine wins and eleven losses.
Both players recently faced Shintaro Mochizuki on hard courts, with each player falling to him in their respective matches. This Round of 16 encounter will test whether Tu's current form and playing style can overcome Smith's experience at this stage of the tournament.
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