ATP Challenger Tour · 2nd Round Qualifying · Open Saint-Brieuc Armor Agglomération
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 59% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,014 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Keegan Smith here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–10 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | -15.4% | -37.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.08u | -3.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Smith
0
Paul
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 15/20 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Smith's 0%).
| Opponent | Smith | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Milavsky | L 36 57 | W 64 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Smith | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68% | 64.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.6% | 69.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.8% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.4 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.9% | 46.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27% | 31.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.7% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 36.2% | 31.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23 | 21.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.9 | 31.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.2% | 66% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Alexandre Muller
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Mar 24
John Sperle
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Laurent Lokoli
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 22
Laurent Lokoli
Open Saint-Brieuc Armor Agglomération · Round of 32
Feb 24
Matchup overview
Keegan Smith and Jakub Paul face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Open Saint-Brieuc Armor Agglomération on Hard.
Keegan Smith leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Keegan Smith is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Li Tu (Apr 16).
Jakub Paul is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Dusan Lajovic (Mar 29).
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