ATP Challenger Tour · 2nd Round Qualifying · Lincoln
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🎯 Baseliner
McHugh
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,478 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Keegan Smith here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | McHugh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | - |
| ROI % | -14.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.43u | - |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Smith
0
McHugh
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Smith and McHugh posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | McHugh |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Sheehy | W 63 63 | W 64 67 63 |
| Noah Schachter | W 64 63 | W 63 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Smith | McHugh |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.9% | 0% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.9% | 0% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 0% |
| Aces / Match | 6.4 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 63.5% | 0% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 0% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.1% | 0% |
| BP Converted % | 35.5% | 0% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.1 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 59% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 0% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ritschard
Lexus Nottingham Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 5
Joshua Sheehy
Lexus Nottingham Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 4
Murphy Cassone
Champaign · Round of 16
Nov 12
Jeremy Zhang
Champaign · Round of 32
Nov 11
Samir Banerjee
Sioux Falls · Round of 32
Oct 21
Matchup overview
Keegan Smith and Aidan McHugh face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Lincoln on Hard.
Keegan Smith leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Keegan Smith is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ben Jones (Jun 1).
Aidan McHugh is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexander Ritschard (Jan 5).
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