WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 348 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Karolina Muchova here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–0 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 7.79 |
| ROI % | +109.0% | -18.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.09u | -0.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
5
Muchova
0
Sakkari
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Sakkari's 44%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 46 16 |
| Elise Mertens | W 16 63 60 | L 36 06 |
| Katie Boulter | W 63 75 | W 63 64 |
| Alycia Parks | W 46 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Anna Bondar | W 75 62 | W 63 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 36 26 |
| Varvara Gracheva | L 26 46 | W 76 60 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 75 | L 36 76 36 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 76 57 16 | W 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Muchova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.7% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.6% | 60.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.5% | 45.3% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.3% | 30.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.8% | 47.2% |
| BP Converted % | 52% | 56.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.1% | 46.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 20% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karolina Muchova and Maria Sakkari face off in the Round of 16 at Madrid on Clay.
Karolina Muchova leads 5-0 over 5 previous meetings.
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anastasia Potapova (May 5).
Maria Sakkari is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Peyton Stearns (May 17).
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