Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elise Mertens here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–0 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 1.29 |
| ROI % | +109.0% | -21.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.09u | -0.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Muchova
1
Mertens
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mertens's 40%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | W 62 61 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 57 63 | L 62 67 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | W 61 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 16 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 62 63 | L 36 26 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 63 57 57 | L 26 36 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 36 64 61 | W 63 60 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 61 64 | L 46 16 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 64 | L 61 67 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 75 | W 26 76 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Muchova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.7% | 60.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.6% | 70.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.5% | 46.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.1 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 61.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.3% | 40.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.8% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 52% | 44.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.1% | 53% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 75% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karolina Muchova and Elise Mertens face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Karolina Muchova leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anastasia Potapova (May 5).
Elise Mertens is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Panna Udvardy (May 5).
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