Grand Slam · Round of 128 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Rybakina
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Elena Rybakina here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–0 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +109.0% | +48.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.09u | +0.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Muchova
2
Rybakina
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Muchova and Rybakina posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Muchova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | L 67 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | L 62 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | W 64 63 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 36 64 61 | W 64 61 |
| Elise Mertens | W 16 63 60 | W 61 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 16 26 | W 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 75 76 | L 57 64 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 26 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | W 75 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Muchova | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.7% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.6% | 72.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.5% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 6.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.1% | 56.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.3% | 36.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.8% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 52% | 51.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.1% | 54% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 75% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karolina Muchova and Elena Rybakina face off in the Round of 128 at Us Open on Hard.
Karolina Muchova leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Anastasia Potapova (May 5).
Elena Rybakina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alexandra Eala (May 5).
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