Karl PolingvsAndre Ilagan

June 6, 2026H Hard

Model Prediction

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Poling

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Ilagan

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,800 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andre Ilagan here.

Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Poling	Ilagan
W-L	5–3	8–6
Avg odds	3.30	2.38
ROI %	+135.6%	-2.7%
Units P/L	+10.85u	-0.38u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

First career meeting

Poling and Ilagan have never faced each other on tour.

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 2 shared opponents, both Poling and Ilagan posted a 50% win rate.

Opponent	Poling	Ilagan
Quinn Vandecasteele	W 76 64	W 75 76
Martin Damm	L 26 36	L 67 57

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Poling	Ilagan
Serve
1st Serve In %	63%	63%
1st Serve Pts Won %	66%	72.4%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	49.9%	50.5%
Aces / Match	3.1	5.1
Double Faults / Match	3.9	2.9
Break Points Saved %	54.3%	69.8%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	33.3%	31%
2nd Return Pts Won %	46.9%	53.9%
BP Converted %	39%	40.7%
Rally
Winners / Match	19.1	21.3
Unforced Errors / Match	41.7	31.2
Net Pts Won %	71.2%	60.6%
Total Pts Won %	48.9%	52%
Surface (Hard)
Hard Win %	75%	63%