ATP Challenger Tour · 1st Round Qualifying · Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🪃 Counterpuncher
Friend
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,681 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Karl Poling plays Jay Friend.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -49.0% | +60.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.92u | +3.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
0
Poling
1
Friend
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Poling's 0%).
| Opponent | Poling | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Kozlov | L 46 67 | W 62 46 63 |
| Garrett Johns | L 26 67 | W 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Poling | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.4% | 67.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.8% | 71.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.9% | 46.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.5 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51% | 68.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.8% | 33% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.6% | 47.8% |
| BP Converted % | 46.9% | 46.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.5 | 28.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 43.6 | 34.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.4% | 62% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.4% | 50% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 25% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Jay Friend
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 2
Alex Hernandez
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Robin Catry
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 6
Miguel Tobon
Banorte Tennis Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Guillermo Tunas
Banorte Tennis Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Justin Boulais
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Quarterfinals
May 22
Fajing Sun
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 16
May 17
Mitchell Krueger
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 32
May 13
Henry Searle
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 3
Karl Poling
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 2
Match summary
Jay Friend and Karl Poling meet in 1st Round Qualifying at the Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship on May 31 over hard courts. Friend, ranked 436th, has not played in three months after dropping his last match. Poling sits at 611th and has been inactive for seven weeks. This will be their first career meeting.
The two share no head-to-head history. Friend has won 3 of 5 and 6 of 10 in recent play, while Poling has gone 2 of 5 and 4 of 10 over the same samples. Both players beat Garrett Johns and Stefan Kozlov on their recent records, suggesting comparable competitive levels in the lower rankings.
Friend constructs points through grinding baseline exchanges and relies heavily on consistency. Poling operates as a counterpuncher, waiting to disrupt rhythm and capitalize on shorter balls. On hard courts, Friend has posted a 68% win rate in his sample; Poling has posted 40%. Friend must shake off extended rust while sustaining the baseline durability that defines his game. Poling needs to find reactive moments and offensive openings against an opponent built for extended rallies.
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