ITF M25 · Round of 16 · M25 Sapporo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
💥 Big Hitter
Ogura
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Kaichi Uchida here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–8 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.84 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -83.1% | +4.4% |
| Units P/L | -7.48u | +0.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Uchida
0
Ogura
Sep 8, 2025
M25 Sapporo
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 1, 2025
M25 Sapporo
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Uchida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ogura's 33%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Hikaru Shiraishi | W 64 63 | L |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 36 75 63 | W |
| Qian Sun | W 61 63 | L 57 36 |
| Taisei Ichikawa | W 62 26 75 | W 61 62 |
| Kokoro Isomura | W 62 62 | L 26 46 |
| Emile Hudd | W 75 63 | L 46 64 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Uchida | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 55.1% | 54.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.5% | 69% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.3% | 55.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 39% | 59.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.1% | 32.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 42.8% | 54.1% |
| BP Converted % | 36.7% | 45.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 14.5 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 14.5% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.8% | 52% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 55% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Kaichi Uchida and Kosuke Ogura face off in the Round of 16 at M25 Sapporo on Hard.
Kaichi Uchida leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Kaichi Uchida is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Quinn Vandecasteele (Jun 14).
Kosuke Ogura is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Keisuke Saitoh (Jun 17).
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