ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Munich Ultra Paraguay Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kestelboim
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,727 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Juan Pablo Varillas here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 4.00 |
| ROI % | -42.2% | -12.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.22u | -0.38u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Varillas
0
Kestelboim
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Kestelboim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kestelboim has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Varillas's 13%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Midon | L 67 46 | W 26 63 63 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 63 75 | L 63 46 46 |
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | L 06 16 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 26 | L 36 67 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 63 26 46 | W 64 26 75 |
| Mateus Alves | L 26 26 | W 64 46 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 16 26 |
| Sebastian Gima | L 46 26 | W 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Varillas | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 56.9% | 59.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 69.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 46.1% |
| Aces / Match | 3.1 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 49% | 54.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.2% | 35.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48% | 55.4% |
| BP Converted % | 42.7% | 56.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 16.7 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.6 | 30.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.9% | 64.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.5% | 51.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 53% | 20% |
Last five matches per player
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 8
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 6
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Carlos Maria Zarate
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 32
Mar 31
Matias Soto
Bolivia Open · Round of 32
Apr 14
Juan Pablo Varillas
Munich Ultra Paraguay Open · Round of 32
Mar 17
Juan Bautista Torres
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion Tigre I · Round of 32
Feb 17
Facundo Mena
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Mateus Alves
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Matchup overview
Juan Pablo Varillas and Mariano Kestelboim face off in the Round of 32 at Munich Ultra Paraguay Open on Clay.
Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Juan Pablo Varillas is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Lautaro Midon (Apr 10).
Mariano Kestelboim is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matias Soto (Apr 14).
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