ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Rome 1
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ymer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Juan Pablo Varillas plays Elias Ymer.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -17.3% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.52u | -1.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Varillas
1
Ymer
Jul 12, 2023
Salzburg
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 17, 2021
Rome 1
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ymer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Varillas's 0%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 36 67 | L 26 16 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | L 36 36 |
| Nicolas Mejia | L 67 26 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Varillas | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 53.8% | 61.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.9% | 71.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.2% | 48.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 3.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.8% | 48.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26% | 25.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 48.3% |
| BP Converted % | 34.8% | 42.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 4 | 16.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30 | 24.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 50% | 66.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.3% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Matchup overview
Juan Pablo Varillas and Elias Ymer face off in the Quarterfinals at Rome 1 on Clay.
Juan Pablo Varillas leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
Elias Ymer is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ugo Humbert (Jun 8).
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