WTA 500 · Final · Austin
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Kessler
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,259 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +1.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +0.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Pegula
0
Kessler
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kessler's 30%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 61 | L 16 16 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 60 | L 67 06 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 57 63 | L 67 67 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 64 | W 63 36 64 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 75 36 36 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | L 46 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 62 | W 63 62 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | L 36 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 64 | L 46 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | W 76 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pegula | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.3% | 64.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.4% | 62.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.5% | 44.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.2% | 44.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.7% | 34.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 40.8% | 55.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.8% | 48.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 71% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jessica Pegula and Mccartney Kessler face off in the Final at Austin on Hard.
Jessica Pegula leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Jessica Pegula is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Kimberly Birrell (May 26).
Mccartney Kessler is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Hanyu Guo (May 25).
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