WTA 500 · Semifinals · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 58% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,058 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -24.5% | +31.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.47u | +2.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 12 career meetings
7
Pegula
5
Sakkari
Jul 27, 2025
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 25, 2023
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 31, 2023
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 13, 2023
Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 17, 2022
Guadalajara 2
H Hard · Final
Feb 21, 2022
Doha
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sakkari's 60%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 36 61 67 | W 75 76 |
| Iga Swiatek | L | L 36 26 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 60 | W 61 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 46 16 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 46 64 75 | W 75 76 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 62 | L 67 46 |
| Donna Vekic | W 46 62 63 | L 26 36 |
| Varvara Gracheva | W 64 60 | W 76 60 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 62 63 | W 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.8% | 63.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.7% | 57.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.3% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 68.9% | 50.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.7% | 28.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54% | 46.1% |
| BP Converted % | 38.1% | 62.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.2% | 44.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 67% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari face off in the Semifinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Jessica Pegula leads 7-5 over 12 previous meetings.
Jessica Pegula is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Kimberly Birrell (May 26).
Maria Sakkari is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tatjana Maria (Jun 9).
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