WTA 1000 · Quarterfinals · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Kasatkina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 75% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 598 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Pegula
1
Kasatkina
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 60 | W 64 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 61 | L 67 63 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | W 75 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 62 | L 57 64 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 75 16 16 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 16 46 | L 63 36 67 |
| Ann Li | W 61 62 | L 76 26 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 75 64 | W 76 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 26 60 63 | L 67 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 61 63 | W 61 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.3% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.4% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.5% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.2% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.7% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 40.8% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.8% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 71% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Quarterfinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Jessica Pegula leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Jessica Pegula is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Kimberly Birrell (May 26).
Daria Kasatkina is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Zeynep Sonmez (May 25).
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