ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Todi
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sels
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelle Sels here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sels | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -44.4% | +49.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.55u | +9.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Sels
0
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sels's 0%).
| Opponent | Sels | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | W 64 67 57 64 76 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 46 06 | W 16 61 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sels | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.7% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 60% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.5% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.5% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.3% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 35 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 60.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.6% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 40% | 68% |
Last five matches per player
Dimitar Kuzmanov
PLOVDIV CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Jun 23
Francesco Forti
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Edoardo Betti
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Tommaso Compagnucci
Internazionali Di Tennis - Citta'Di Vicenza · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 25
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Matchup overview
Jelle Sels and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round of 32 at Todi on Clay.
Jelle Sels leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Jelle Sels is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Dimitar Kuzmanov (Jun 23).
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Giles Hussey (Jun 23).
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