WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Carle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,300 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelena Ostapenko here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +0.7% | -39.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.11u | -2.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Ostapenko
0
Carle
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Carle's 0%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 64 64 | L |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 16 67 | L 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenko | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.4% | 63.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.2% | 58% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.9% | 39.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 0.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 7.1 | 6.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.9% | 46.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 41.6% | 49.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 61.1% | 56.6% |
| BP Converted % | 56.1% | 61.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 46% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Maria Lourdes Carle face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Jelena Ostapenko leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Jelena Ostapenko is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Zeynep Sonmez (Jun 25).
Maria Lourdes Carle is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jeline Vandromme (Jun 24).
Share this match
