WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 62% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,217 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Iga Swiatek here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 5–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -42.8% | +45.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.71u | +2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
6
Ostapenko
0
Swiatek
Apr 14, 2025
Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 9, 2025
Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 28, 2023
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 14, 2022
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 6, 2021
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 17, 2019
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Ostapenko's 30%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | L 61 57 36 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 46 36 | W 62 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 16 67 | W 63 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | W 61 16 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | W 61 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 64 | W 61 60 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 46 | W 62 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | W 61 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 63 46 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenko | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 64.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 70.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 53.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 63.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.2% | 41.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.7% | 68% |
| BP Converted % | 55.2% | 55.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 58% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Iga Swiatek face off in the Round of 16 at Indian Wells on Hard.
Jelena Ostapenko leads 6-0 over 6 previous meetings.
Jelena Ostapenko is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Magda Linette (May 27).
Iga Swiatek is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Sara Bejlek (May 27).
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