WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · San Diego
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Alexandrova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Ekaterina Alexandrova here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 5.82 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.92u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 9 career meetings
6
Ostapenko
3
Alexandrova
Feb 8, 2026
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 14, 2025
Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 29, 2024
Linz
H Hard · Final
Jan 8, 2024
Adelaide
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 11, 2023
San Diego
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 19, 2022
Seoul
H Hard · Final
Apr 28, 2022
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Oct 7, 2019
Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 17, 2018
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ostapenko's 40%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 63 67 16 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | W 63 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | W 36 76 63 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 64 64 | W 63 60 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 57 63 36 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | W 63 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 64 | W 61 63 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 46 36 | L 67 16 |
| Xin Yu Wang | L 64 46 46 | W 62 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 26 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 55.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.1% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.7% | 46.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 6.1 | 4.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 43.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.2% | 28.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.7% | 54.3% |
| BP Converted % | 55.2% | 34.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.7% | 48% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Jelena Ostapenko and Ekaterina Alexandrova face off in the Round of 32 at San Diego on Hard.
Jelena Ostapenko leads 6-3 over 9 previous meetings.
Jelena Ostapenko is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Lucrezia Stefanini (May 5).
Ekaterina Alexandrova is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ann Li (May 17).
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